The number of close ridings affected by the Robocall scandal keeps climbing and with evidence of links to RackNine and RMG, along with 31,000 phone calls reporting irregularities from voters, there is plenty of evidence to prove something was wrong. However, is it enough to prove to a judge that an election result should be overturned? This list will likely grow over time. If the answer to the question is yes, the Liberals could recoup 4 ridings as a result of Robocall.
In these 4 ridings, the margin of victory was under 1000 – as it was many ridings – but these 4 have a strong historical context that could play an essential part in determining how valid the Conservative wins actually were and help predict their ultimate fate.
By a mere 18 votes, Jay Aspin beat Liberal Anthony Rota, who had won the riding by about 5000 votes in the last 2 elections. Voters in the riding received calls claiming that polling stations changed and received late night calls from people posing as Liberals. This riding will likely go back to the Liberals.
Mississauga East – Cooksville
Wladyslaw Lizon beat Liberal Peter Fonseca in a riding that had been Liberal since 1988 by only 676 votes. This riding got the robocalls and impersonators as well, but in this riding, some of the impersonators asked for donations. This riding will almost certainly go back to the Liberals.
Winnipeg South Center
Joyce Bateman beat Liberal Anita Neville by only 722 votes. Neville won the riding in 2000 preceding Liberal cabinet minister Lloyd Axworthy. This riding only reports the pesky robocalls and would more than certainly return to the Liberals based on its history.
Chungsen Leung beat Liberal Martha Hall Findlay by only 932 votes where voters got robocalls and impersonators claiming to have changed polling stations and calling at all hours. A complaint has been filed according to the Globe and Mail. The riding had been Liberal since 1988 and will return Liberal if the results are voided.
More ridings are being attested and added to the list of places to investigate. How legitimate were the election results and did the Liberals really lose as badly as they did? The first seats to change will be former Liberal seats – especially in vote-rich Ontario where the party took the biggest beating, especially in southern ridings.